Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 5

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Marítimo (Funchal)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)


	Marítimo		Vizela

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.4
	2.78	3.15	2.48
	2.83	3.2	2.62
	2.79	3.18	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.57)	3.15 ↓ (3.24)	2.52 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
34%

Draw
29.4%

Vizela
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.9%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

28.3%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Marítimo - Vizela Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Vizela will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Marítimo (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Marítimo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Samu (G) 17. Xavi Grande 44. Correia R. (C) 5. Madsen N. 25. Freitas A. 98. Ibrahima 8. Cruz M. 21. Bouzaidi S. 14. Raphael Guzzo 10. Tejon M. 11. Guedes A.	1. Gomis A. (G) 6. Jota Goncalves (C) 37. Sampaio J. 4. Rhyner J. 11. Ntolla N. 5. Moha Moukhliss 22. Busnic A. 21. Ramos R. 20. Godwin O. 24. Morschel H. 17. Tavares M.
Substitutes
6. Andrade R. 3. Butzke A. 28. Carlos Daniel 18. Danilovic V. 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 9. Elis A. 7. Pena Zauner E. 4. Santos Junior E. A. 1. Tabuaco G. (G)	8. Bastunov A. 23. Fortune Y. 55. Hristov A. 40. Italo Henrique 7. Loppy D. 9. Manu 47. Ramos P. 25. Ruly (G) 33. Schutte R.
Coaches
Emanuel Soares Matos V.	Sousa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Jota Goncalves 🟨,
36', Correia R. 🟥,
39', 0 - 1, Morschel H. (Pen),
42', Raphael Guzzo 🟨,
43', Busnic A. 🟨,
44', Ramos R. 🟨,
45+3', Xavi Grande 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ramos R. ↓, Manu ↑,
46', Busnic A. ↓, Bastunov A. ↑,
46', Ibrahima ↓, Da Rocha Borges R. ↑,
46', Tejon M. ↓, Santos Junior E. A. ↑,
46', Xavi Grande ↓, Danilovic V. ↑,
52', Godwin O. 🟨,
59', Morschel H. 🟨,
63', Godwin O. 🟨,
65', Guedes A. ↓, Carlos Daniel ↑,
68', Jota Goncalves ↓, Italo Henrique ↑,
74', Moha Moukhliss ↓, Schutte R. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Raphael Guzzo ⚽, Freitas A. (A),
77', Freitas A. 🟨,
80', Freitas A. ↓, Butzke A. ↑,
83', Tavares M. ↓, Loppy D. ↑,
89', Butzke A. 🟨,
90+1', Manu 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 1.

Marítimo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vizela is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2
31.08.25	Farense - Marítimo	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Marítimo - Feirense	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Felgueiras - Marítimo	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Marítimo - Lusitânia	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.25	Marítimo - Nacional	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWWLW
- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
31.08.25	Vizela - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Portimonense - Vizela	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Vizela - Porto B	4:0 ✺
09.08.25	Paços de Ferreira - Vizela	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Vizela - Celta de Vigo B	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
16.05.25	Marítimo - Vizela	1:2
05.01.25	Vizela - Marítimo	3:2
Portuguese League Cup
22.07.23	Vizela - Marítimo	2:1
Liga Portugal
19.05.23	Marítimo - Vizela	1:0
14.01.23	Vizela - Marítimo	3:0
08.05.22	Vizela - Marítimo	1:1
28.12.21	Marítimo - Vizela	2:0

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