The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marítimo 27.7%
Draw 30.4%
Santa Clara 41.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.7%
30.4%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
30.8%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Marítimo - Santa Clara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th and 4th in the Promotion - Europa League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 2.
Marítimo is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Santa Clara have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Marítimo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Marítimo has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Santa Clara holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Marítimo has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:14 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Marítimo against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:6 goals (averaging 1.7:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Santa Clara
9
5
3
1
13:6
7
18
14
Maritimo
9
2
2
5
9:19
-10
8
Outrights of Liga Portugal for now
Santa Clara: 0.54% Maritimo: 0.3%
Last Results with these Odds
Santa Clara - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.85%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
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