Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 14

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Maracena		Arenas Armilla

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Maracena
40.3%

Draw
30%

Arenas Armilla
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.7%

29.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

28%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maracena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maracena's performance.

Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenas Armilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maracena than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 10).

Recent matches Maracena is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arenas Armilla has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arenas Armilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Maracena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.12.22	Torreperogil - Maracena	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Maracena - Torredonjimeno	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Málaga Juniors - Maracena	2:5 ✺
30.10.22	El Palo - Maracena	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Maracena - Torre Del Mar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWWLL
- Arenas Armilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.12.22	Arenas Armilla - El Palo	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Torre Del Mar - Arenas Armilla	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Arenas Armilla - Motril	2:4 ✺
20.11.22	Marbella - Arenas Armilla	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Arenas Armilla - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Maracena - Arenas Armilla