Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 14

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Maracena		Arenas Armilla

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	2.9
	2.15	2.88	2.95
	2.19	2.95	3
	2.22	3	3.04
	2.24	3.06	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.52)	2.97 ↓ (2.98)	2.99 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maracena
40.3%

Draw
30%

Arenas Armilla
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

29.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maracena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maracena's performance.

Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenas Armilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maracena than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Maracena - Arenas Armilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 10).

Recent matches Maracena is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arenas Armilla has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arenas Armilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Maracena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.12.22	Torreperogil - Maracena	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Maracena - Torredonjimeno	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Málaga Juniors - Maracena	2:5 ✺
30.10.22	El Palo - Maracena	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Maracena - Torre Del Mar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWWLL
- Arenas Armilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.12.22	Arenas Armilla - El Palo	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Torre Del Mar - Arenas Armilla	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Arenas Armilla - Motril	2:4 ✺
20.11.22	Marbella - Arenas Armilla	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Arenas Armilla - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Maracena - Arenas Armilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide