The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arenas Armilla 59.3%
Draw 26.1%
El Palo 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.4%
24.9%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.9%
23.9%
15.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
El Palo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Arenas Armilla - El Palo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Lopez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Cabello A. ⚽,
80', 3 - 0, Conde J. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Arenas Armilla has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
El Palo is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Arenas Armilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Arenas Armilla is the clear favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arenas Armilla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Arenas Armilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Watch
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