Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 17

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Maracena		Huracán Melilla

	1	X	2
	1.12	7.5	14.5
	1.09	6.6	16
	1.09	8.59	19.96
	1.08	8.5	17.25
	1.09	7.5	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.36)	7.74 ↑ (4.3)	17.74 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maracena
83.1%

Draw
11.8%

Huracán Melilla
5.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.3%

20.7%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

12.3%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maracena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maracena's performance.

Huracán Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Huracán Melilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maracena than the current prediction. (-44.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maracena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Melilla than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huracán Melilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Maracena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Huracán Melilla is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Maracena is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Maracena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.01.23	Almeria B - Maracena	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Malaga B - Maracena	3:0 ✺
11.12.22	Maracena - Arenas Armilla	1:1 ✺
08.12.22	Torreperogil - Maracena	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Maracena - Torredonjimeno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTTW
- Huracán Melilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.01.23	Huracán Melilla - El Palo	0:2 ✺
17.12.22	Huracán Melilla - Torre Del Mar	0:5 ✺
10.12.22	Motril - Huracán Melilla	0:1 ✺
08.12.22	Huracán Melilla - Marbella	0:1 ✺
03.12.22	Real Jaén - Huracán Melilla	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LLWLL

Maracena - Huracán Melilla

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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