Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 12

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)


	Marbella		Almeria B

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.4
	1.81	3.1	3.65
	1.64	3.35	4.5
	1.62	3.53	4.86
	1.65	3.6	4.65
	1.72	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	3.38 ↑ (3.31)	4.43 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
53.2%

Draw
26.5%

Almeria B
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.7%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Almeria B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Marbella - Almeria B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marbella won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Marbella is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Marbella won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Marbella won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
27.11.22	Malaga B - Marbella	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Marbella - Arenas Armilla	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Torreperogil - Marbella	3:2 ✺
30.10.22	Marbella - Torredonjimeno	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	Huétor Vega - Marbella	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWLWT
- Almeria B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
27.11.22	Almeria B - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
20.11.22	Huétor Tájar - Almeria B	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Almeria B - Huracán Melilla	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Almeria B - Málaga Juniors	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	Malaga B - Almeria B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.05.22	Marbella - Almeria B	1:2 ET
09.02.22	Almeria B - Marbella	0:0
26.09.21	Marbella - Almeria B	2:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.01.19	Marbella - Almeria B	2:0
27.08.18	Almeria B - Marbella	2:1
27.02.16	Marbella - Almeria B	0:1
11.10.15	Almeria B - Marbella	3:2

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