Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Almeria B		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
	3	2.82	2.32
	3.32	2.88	2.36
	3.24	2.84	2.35	Watch
	3.2	2.7	2.3
	3.21	2.82	2.31
	3.25	2.83	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.68)	2.82 ↓ (2.94)	2.33 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almeria B
28.5%

Draw
32.4%

Real Jaén
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

30.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

31.5%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almeria B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almeria B's form might have worsened.

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almeria B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Almeria B - Real Jaén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Romera J. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 1 - 1, Alonso A. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almeria B won 1.

Almeria B is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Jaén's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Almeria B won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Almeria B won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almeria B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.01.26	Linares Deportivo - Almeria B	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Almeria B - Xerez CD	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Lorca Deportiva - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Estepona - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Almeria B - Melilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTT
- Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.01.26	Real Jaén - Lorca Deportiva	4:2 ✺
11.01.26	CD Extremadura - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Real Jaén - Atlético Malagueño	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Águilas - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Real Jaén - UCAM Murcia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.10.25	Real Jaén - Almeria B	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.06.24	Real Jaén - Almeria B	1:2
02.06.24	Almeria B - Real Jaén	2:2
21.04.24	Almeria B - Real Jaén	0:1
03.12.23	Real Jaén - Almeria B	1:1
19.03.23	Real Jaén - Almeria B	1:0
27.11.22	Almeria B - Real Jaén	0:1

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