Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Marbella		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.37	2.95	2.7
	2.55	2.9	2.9
	2.56	3.05	2.91
	2.49	2.94	2.89	Watch
	2.46	3.04	2.89
	2.55	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.43)	2.97 ↓ (3.02)	2.85 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
36.9%

Draw
30.9%

Mérida AD
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

30%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

32.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Marbella - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Martin D. (G) 20. Bernardo 15. Diori Y. 5. Acosta L. 2. Alvarez J. 23. Pena M. 8. Alamo J. 10. Punal A. 24. Edwards R. 7. Callejon J. (C) 21. Munoz P.	1. Juanpa (G) 19. Pipe 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 18. Falcon E. 22. Climent M. 15. Prevedini M. 10. Juanjo 21. Beneit R. 23. Busi 14. Beltran L. 8. Eslava J.
Substitutes
17. Alayeto I. 4. Carrasco J. 6. Duarte J. 9. Du Yuezheng 3. Fornes G. 16. Hanza D. 1. Lejarraga A. (G) 19. Ohemeng E. 14. Olguin M. 25. Solsky D. (G) 11. Soto A.	12. Beer J. 4. Bonaque M. 28. del Cerro S. 11. Doncel C. 17. Ganet P. 16. Garcia P. 26. Macia I. (G) 9. Mizzian M. 3. Sergi 13. Vicente D. (G) 20. Wehbe Gonzalez C. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Climent M. ↓, Sergi ↑,
32', Prevedini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Pipe 🟨,
57', Munoz P. 🟨,
59', Beneit R. 🟨,
62', Falcon E. 🟨,
64', Prevedini M. ↓, Doncel C. ↑,
64', Beneit R. ↓, Ganet P. ↑,
64', Eslava J. ↓, Mizzian M. ↑,
70', Munoz P. ↓, Ohemeng E. ↑,
70', Edwards R. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
75', Punal A. ↓, Fornes G. ↑,
78', Pipe ↓, Bonaque M. ↑,
80', Pareja Alvarez L. 🟥,
80', Bonaque M. 🟨,
83', 1 - 0, Callejon J. ⚽,
87', Callejon J. ↓, Hanza D. ↑,
87', Alamo J. ↓, Olguin M. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', Falcon E. 🟥,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marbella won 2.

Recent matches Marbella is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mérida AD is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mérida AD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Marbella won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Marbella won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.09.24	Marbella - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Algeciras - Marbella	1:3 ✺
08.09.24	Marbella - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Marbella - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	San Fernando - Marbella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLWT
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.09.24	Mérida AD - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Real Murcia - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
06.09.24	Mérida AD - Algeciras	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Mérida AD	0:3 ✺
25.08.24	Mérida AD - Recreativo Huelva	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.02.20	Mérida AD - Marbella	0:0
15.09.19	Marbella - Mérida AD	3:2
07.01.18	Mérida AD - Marbella	2:2
19.08.17	Marbella - Mérida AD	2:0
19.02.17	Mérida AD - Marbella	3:0
02.10.16	Marbella - Mérida AD	2:1
06.03.16	Mérida AD - Marbella	0:1

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