The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mérida AD 37%
Draw 31.6%
Recreativo Huelva 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
29.8%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
30.5%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Recreativo Huelva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Mérida AD - Recreativo Huelva Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Juanpa (G) 19. Pipe 4. Bonaque M. 18. Falcon E. 22. Climent M. 6. Miki 10. Juanjo 8. Eslava J. 23. Busi 11. Doncel C. 14. Beltran L.
1. Galvez R. (G) 18. Perejon D. 4. Serrano R. 5. Galvez A. 22. Navas R. 26. Davinchi 19. Garcia Perez J. L. 8. Luis Alcalde 14. Del Pozo D. 10. Dominguez A. 9. Quintana C.
Substitutes
12. Beer J. 21. Beneit R. 17. Ganet P. 16. Garcia P. 9. Mizzian M. 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 15. Prevedini M. 3. Sergi 27. Tiago Leal 13. Vicente D. (G) 20. Wehbe Gonzalez C. A.
20. Becken C. 11. Bekkouche C. 16. Caballero P. 30. Folgado T. (G) 6. Keita B. 3. Lopez A. 24. Moreno Meca C. 7. Romero P. 23. Soto D. 28. Vega I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Eslava J. ⚽,
34', Beltran L. 🟨,
42', Perejon D. 🟨,
43', Eslava J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Serrano R. ↓, Keita B. ↑,
47', Garcia Perez J. L. 🟨,
50', Galvez R. 🟨,
53', 2 - 0, Eslava J. ⚽,
55', 3 - 0, Beltran L. ⚽,
59', Garcia Perez J. L. ↓, Bekkouche C. ↑,
59', Dominguez A. ↓, Moreno Meca C. ↑,
59', Eslava J. ↓, Mizzian M. ↑,
59', Beltran L. ↓, Beneit R. ↑,
65', Doncel C. ↓, Ganet P. ↑,
65', Quintana C. ↓, Caballero P. ↑,
74', Juanjo ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
74', Busi ↓, Wehbe Gonzalez C. A. ↑,
79', Caballero P. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Soto D. ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 2, Galvez A. ⚽,
90+8', 3 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1.
Mérida AD is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Recreativo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recreativo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-1.