Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 16

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Marbella		Vélez

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	4.8
	1.66	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.55	5.42
	1.67	3.48	5.42
	1.59	3.54	5.25
	1.57	3.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.87)	3.62 ↑ (3.1)	5.14 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
56.7%

Draw
25.4%

Vélez
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

29.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

29.1%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marbella's performance.

Vélez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marbella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Marbella - Vélez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 9).

Marbella is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vélez is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Marbella is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.12.23	Marbella - Yeclano Deportivo	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	Sevilla B - Marbella	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Marbella - Betis B	0:2 ✺
18.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Marbella	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Marbella - La Unión	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.12.23	Sevilla B - Vélez	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Vélez - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Vélez	3:0 ✺
19.11.23	Vélez - Linense	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Cadiz CF B - Vélez	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLWT

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