Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 12

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	San Roque de Lepe		Marbella

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	1.95
	4.25	3.07	1.96
	4.25	3.07	1.96
	3.92	3.18	1.88
	3.6	3	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↓ (5.3)	3.12 ↓ (3.34)	1.96 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Roque de Lepe
23.3%

Draw
29.5%

Marbella
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

27.2%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

26.4%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Roque de Lepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Roque de Lepe's performance.

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marbella might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Roque de Lepe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marbella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Roque de Lepe - Marbella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

San Roque de Lepe has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Marbella is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marbella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marbella will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches San Roque de Lepe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams San Roque de Lepe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
08.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Linense	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Girona	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.10.23	Cadiz CF B - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Marbella FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.11.23	Marbella - La Unión	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Marbella	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Marbella - Ferrol	1:3 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.10.23	Marbella - Antoniano	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Linense - Marbella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.01.16	San Roque de Lepe - Marbella	0:0
05.09.15	Marbella - San Roque de Lepe	1:1
18.04.15	San Roque de Lepe - Marbella	2:3
30.11.14	Marbella - San Roque de Lepe	0:2

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