Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Hessen - Round 28

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Marburg		Erlensee

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3.3
	1.89	3.93	3.39
	1.89	3.93	3.39
	1.87	3.92	3.45
	1.9	3.75	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.16)	3.86 ↑ (3.77)	3.37 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marburg
48.7%

Draw
23.9%

Erlensee
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

24.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

24.2%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marburg's performance.

Erlensee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erlensee might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marburg than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erlensee than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Marburg - Erlensee Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent matches Marburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Erlensee has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Marburg
German Oberliga Hessen
13.04.24	Hanauer - Marburg	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Marburg - Waldgirmes	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Marburg - SV Steinbach	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Rot-Weiss Walldorf - Marburg	2:3 ✺
16.03.24	Marburg - Bayern Alzenau	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLTWL
- FC 1906 Erlensee
German Oberliga Hessen
13.04.24	Erlensee - Eddersheim	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Fernwald - Erlensee	4:0 ✺
28.03.24	Erlensee - Gießen	1:4 ✺
23.03.24	Adler Weidenhausen - Erlensee	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Waldgirmes - Erlensee	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Marburg - Erlensee: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide