Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 18 - ROUND 18

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Marchamalo		Azuqueca

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.25	4
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.79	3.24	4.18
	1.76	3.38	4.32
	1.8	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.62)	3.33 ↓ (3.5)	4.1 ↓ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marchamalo
50.8%

Draw
27.2%

Azuqueca
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

23.7%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marchamalo's form might have worsened.

Azuqueca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marchamalo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azuqueca than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Azuqueca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marchamalo won 3.

Marchamalo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Azuqueca has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Marchamalo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Marchamalo to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Marchamalo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Marchamalo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
21.01.24	Marchamalo - Quintanar del Rey	2:1 ✺
13.01.24	Tarancón - Marchamalo	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Marchamalo - Torrijos	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Atlético Tomelloso - Marchamalo	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	Marchamalo - Socuéllamos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTWWT
- CD Azuqueca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
21.01.24	Huracán Balazote - Azuqueca	2:0 ✺
13.01.24	Azuqueca - Conquense	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Deportivo Toledo - Azuqueca	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Azuqueca - Cazalegas	3:4 ✺
03.12.23	Villarrubia - Azuqueca	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
09.09.23	Azuqueca - Marchamalo	3:0
26.02.23	Marchamalo - Azuqueca	2:0
23.10.22	Azuqueca - Marchamalo	0:0
14.03.21	Marchamalo - Azuqueca	1:0
24.03.19	Marchamalo - Azuqueca	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
14.03.18	Marchamalo - Azuqueca	0:1

Marchamalo - Azuqueca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide