Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 18 - ROUND 15

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Marchamalo		Torrijos

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.87	3.2
	2.13	2.99	3.31
	2.13	2.99	3.31
	2.16	3.02	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.95)	2.97 ↓ (3.02)	3.3 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marchamalo
42.2%

Draw
30.4%

Torrijos
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29.8%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.2%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Torrijos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marchamalo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torrijos than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Marchamalo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Torrijos is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marchamalo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Marchamalo to win the game is with odds 2.18.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Marchamalo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Marchamalo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
17.12.23	Atlético Tomelloso - Marchamalo	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	Marchamalo - Socuéllamos	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	La Solana - Marchamalo	0:3 ✺
19.11.23	Marchamalo - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	San Clemente - Marchamalo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WTWTW
- CD Torrijos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
17.12.23	Torrijos - Huracán Balazote	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Conquense - Torrijos	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	Torrijos - Deportivo Toledo	2:4 ✺
19.11.23	Cazalegas - Torrijos	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Torrijos - Villarrubia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
19.03.23	Torrijos - Marchamalo	0:3
20.11.22	Marchamalo - Torrijos	1:1
21.03.21	Torrijos - Marchamalo	2:1

Marchamalo - Torrijos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide