Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday


	Marchamalo		Noblejas

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.5
	1.94	3.25	3.6
	1.93	3.35	3.69	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.8
	1.94	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.27)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)	3.64 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marchamalo
47.1%

Draw
28%

Noblejas
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

29%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marchamalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marchamalo's performance.

Noblejas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noblejas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marchamalo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noblejas than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noblejas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marchamalo - Noblejas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Molina L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, Illana V. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 0, Acuna F. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
21.12.24	Deportivo Toledo - Marchamalo	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Marchamalo - Valdepeñas	2:1 ✺
06.12.24	Azuqueca - Marchamalo	3:2 ✺
30.11.24	Marchamalo - Manzanares	3:2 ✺
24.11.24	Albacete B - Marchamalo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- CD Noblejas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
21.12.24	Noblejas - Cazalegas	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Quintanar del Rey - Noblejas	2:3 ✺
07.12.24	Noblejas - Manchego	0:4 ✺
01.12.24	Villarrobledo - Noblejas	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Noblejas - Socuéllamos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TWLLT

Marchamalo - Noblejas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide