Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Azuqueca		Marchamalo

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.98	3
	2.31	2.93	3.26	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.2
	2.2	3.04	3.15
	2.2	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.34)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)	3.16 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azuqueca
40.6%

Draw
30.6%

Marchamalo
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

29.8%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29.6%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azuqueca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azuqueca than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Azuqueca - Marchamalo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 2, ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Azuqueca won 2.

Azuqueca is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Marchamalo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Azuqueca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Azuqueca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Azuqueca won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Azuqueca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Azuqueca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
14.12.25	Sonseca - Azuqueca	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Villarrubia - Azuqueca	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Azuqueca - Tarancón	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Pedroñeras - Azuqueca	2:2 ✺
16.11.25	Azuqueca - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTT
- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
13.12.25	Marchamalo - Villarrubia	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Tarancón - Marchamalo	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Marchamalo - Pedroñeras	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Marchamalo	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Marchamalo - San Clemente	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
06.12.24	Azuqueca - Marchamalo	3:2
28.01.24	Marchamalo - Azuqueca	0:0
09.09.23	Azuqueca - Marchamalo	3:0
26.02.23	Marchamalo - Azuqueca	2:0
23.10.22	Azuqueca - Marchamalo	0:0
14.03.21	Marchamalo - Azuqueca	1:0
24.03.19	Marchamalo - Azuqueca	1:0

Azuqueca - Marchamalo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide