Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Marchamalo		Villarrobledo

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.24	3.68
	2.03	3.26	3.54	Watch
	1.94	3.28	3.59
	2.26	3.15	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.22)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	3.44 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marchamalo
45%

Draw
28.4%

Villarrobledo
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marchamalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Villarrobledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Marchamalo - Villarrobledo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Venegas Moreno I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
86', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marchamalo won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Marchamalo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Marchamalo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
12.10.25	Albacete B - Marchamalo	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Marchamalo - La Solana	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Deportivo Toledo - Marchamalo	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Marchamalo - Cazalegas	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Huracán Balazote - Marchamalo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLWL
- CP Villarrobledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
12.10.25	Villarrobledo - Azuqueca	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Villarrubia - Villarrobledo	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Villarrobledo - Tarancón	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Pedroñeras - Villarrobledo	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Villarrobledo - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
23.02.25	Villarrobledo - Marchamalo	0:6
13.10.24	Marchamalo - Villarrobledo	2:4
04.02.24	Villarrobledo - Marchamalo	1:1
17.09.23	Marchamalo - Villarrobledo	0:1
05.03.23	Villarrobledo - Marchamalo	0:1
30.10.22	Marchamalo - Villarrobledo	0:0
30.09.18	Marchamalo - Villarrobledo	0:1

Marchamalo - Villarrobledo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide