Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 28

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Marconi Stadium (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	NPL NNSWF


	Marconi Stallions		Sutherland Sharks

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.90	5.00
	1.55	3.8	4.6
	1.6	4.15	5.05
	1.61	4.22	4.7
	1.58	4.1	4.65
	1.55	3.94	4.97	Watch
	1.58	3.95	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.43)	4.01 ↓ (4.1)	4.81 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marconi Stallions
58.1%

Draw
22.9%

Sutherland Sharks
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

22.1%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marconi Stallions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marconi Stallions than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marconi Stallions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Marconi Stallions - Sutherland Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marconi Stallions won 4.

Recent form of Marconi Stallions has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sutherland Sharks's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sutherland Sharks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marconi Stallions is a strong favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Marconi Stallions won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:23. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Marconi Stallions won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Marconi Stallions - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 62.16%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marconi Stallions
Australian NPL NSW
08.08.26	Manly United - Marconi Stallions	3:1 ✺
02.08.26	Marconi Stallions - St. George City	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	SD Raiders - Marconi Stallions	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Marconi Stallions - Sydney United	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	Marconi Stallions - Western Sydney Wanderers Youth	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Sutherland Sharks
Australian NPL NSW
08.08.26	Sutherland Sharks - Sydney FC U23	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Sutherland Sharks - Wollongong Wolves	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Rockdale Ilinden - Sutherland Sharks	1:3 ✺
18.07.26	Sutherland Sharks - Sydney Olympic	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Manly United - Sutherland Sharks	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
02.05.26	Sutherland Sharks - Marconi Stallions	2:4
31.08.25	Marconi Stallions - Sutherland Sharks	3:0
17.05.25	Sutherland Sharks - Marconi Stallions	0:2
22.06.24	Marconi Stallions - Sutherland Sharks	3:3
16.03.24	Sutherland Sharks - Marconi Stallions	1:2
01.07.23	Sutherland Sharks - Marconi Stallions	0:0
18.03.23	Marconi Stallions - Sutherland Sharks	0:2

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