Match Info
NPL NSW - Round 23Date: 11 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Cromer Park (Sydney)
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Manly United |
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Sutherland Sharks |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.25 |
3.40 |
2.75 |
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 |
2.28 |
3.5 |
2.62 |
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 |
2.56 |
3.76 |
2.57 |
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2.22 |
3.86 |
2.78 |
Watch |
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2.35 |
3.7 |
2.5 |
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2.62 |
3.63 |
2.43 |
Watch |
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2.29 |
3.55 |
2.65 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.14) |
3.63 ↑
(3.25) |
2.61 ↓
(2.85) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Manly United
39.1% | Draw
25.5% | Sutherland Sharks
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manly United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manly United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-4.8%)Manly United - Sutherland Sharks Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 60', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 81', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manly United won 2.Recent performances by Manly United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Sutherland Sharks is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manly United won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Manly United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.8:2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL NSW | | | 28.03.26 | Sutherland Sharks - Manly United | 3:0 | | 31.05.25 | Sutherland Sharks - Manly United | 0:1 | | 14.02.25 | Manly United - Sutherland Sharks | 0:3 | | 26.07.24 | Manly United - Sutherland Sharks | 1:2 | | 20.04.24 | Sutherland Sharks - Manly United | 1:2 | | 29.07.23 | Manly United - Sutherland Sharks | 1:0 | | 15.04.23 | Sutherland Sharks - Manly United | 1:0 |
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