Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 26

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Seymour Shaw Park (Sutherland)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	NPL NNSWF


	Sutherland Sharks		Wollongong Wolves

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.50	3.70
	1.82	3.55	3.6
	1.79	3.81	4
	1.84	3.89	3.72	Watch
	1.76	3.7	3.85
	1.77	3.86	4.07	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.02)	3.7 ↑ (3.4)	3.8 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutherland Sharks
50.9%

Draw
24.8%

Wollongong Wolves
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.2%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

25.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sutherland Sharks's performance.

Wollongong Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wollongong Wolves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wollongong Wolves than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Sutherland Sharks - Wollongong Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 2 - 0, ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutherland Sharks won 0.

Sutherland Sharks is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wollongong Wolves is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sutherland Sharks could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sutherland Sharks won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:48. (average 0.9:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sutherland Sharks won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1.1:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutherland Sharks
Australian NPL NSW
26.07.26	Rockdale Ilinden - Sutherland Sharks	1:3 ✺
18.07.26	Sutherland Sharks - Sydney Olympic	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Manly United - Sutherland Sharks	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Sutherland Sharks - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	3:2 ✺
27.06.26	University of New South Wales - Sutherland Sharks	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WTLWW
- Wollongong Wolves
Australian NPL NSW
26.07.26	Wollongong Wolves - Blacktown City	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Wollongong Wolves - SD Raiders	2:3 ✺
11.07.26	Sydney Olympic - Wollongong Wolves	3:2 ✺
05.07.26	Wollongong Wolves - St. George City	3:3 ✺
27.06.26	North West Sydney Spirit - Wollongong Wolves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
19.04.26	Wollongong Wolves - Sutherland Sharks	2:1
26.07.25	Sutherland Sharks - Wollongong Wolves	1:3
13.04.25	Wollongong Wolves - Sutherland Sharks	4:0
12.06.24	Wollongong Wolves - Sutherland Sharks	2:1
06.03.24	Sutherland Sharks - Wollongong Wolves	0:4
26.05.23	Wollongong Wolves - Sutherland Sharks	2:0
11.02.23	Sutherland Sharks - Wollongong Wolves	0:3

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