Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 6

Date: 26 August 2024, Monday

Location: Stadion Bonchuk (Dupnitsa)


	Marek Dupnitsa		Botev Plovdiv II

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.75	6.5
	1.46	3.85	6.01
	1.49	3.79	6.57	Watch
	1.3	4	12
	1.45	3.9	6.63	Watch
	1.47	3.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.69)	3.84 ↑ (3.3)	7.37 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marek Dupnitsa
63.7%

Draw
23.9%

Botev Plovdiv II
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

27.3%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

26.6%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marek Dupnitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marek Dupnitsa's performance.

Botev Plovdiv II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botev Plovdiv II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Dupnitsa than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marek Dupnitsa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv II than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botev Plovdiv II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Marek Dupnitsa - Botev Plovdiv II Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Marek will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Botev Plovdiv II will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kostadinov K. (G) 6. Arsov I. 19. Asparuhov A. 32. Bashliev A. 7. Dzhadzharov H. 10. Genadiev Ganchev N. 35. Kavdanski M. (C) 44. Kaymakanski H. 13. Lyubomirov V. 5. Petkov M. 8. Yordanov V.	1. Kajzer D. (G) 30. Chernev A. 19. Kintuntu N. 2. Kushtinarov G. 11. Marinov B. 8. Remeikis M. 17. Simeonov M. 5. Tatarov K. 3. Videv I. (C) 18. Yordanov D. 20. Zlatanov G.
Substitutes
14. Bliznakov A. 9. Dimitrov I. 77. Ivanov M. 17. Ivanov T. 12. Mladenov P. (G) 55. Nakov S. 94. Stoyanov D. 1. Yankov Y. (G) 18. Yordanov R.	14. Aivazov J. 16. Kokov D. 7. Naydenov E. 21. Rusev D. (G) 13. Sitev M. 15. Stoyanov S. 4. Tsekov K. 22. Vidolov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, ⚽,
69', 2 - 0, ⚽,
71', 3 - 0, ⚽,
84', 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 15).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Botev Plovdiv II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marek is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Marek won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Marek won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.08.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Marek Dupnitsa	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Belasitsa Petrich	1:0 ✺
06.08.24	Minyor Pernik - Marek Dupnitsa	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Yantra Gabrovo	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Montana - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLTT
- Botev Plovdiv II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
19.08.24	Botev Plovdiv II - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:1 ✺
12.08.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Plovdiv II	2:0 ✺
05.08.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Botev Plovdiv II	3:0 ✺
29.07.24	Botev Plovdiv II - Belasitsa Petrich	1:0 ✺
22.07.24	Minyor Pernik - Botev Plovdiv II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
06.04.22	Marek Dupnitsa - Botev Plovdiv II	1:0
26.09.21	Botev Plovdiv II - Marek Dupnitsa	1:0

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