Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Bonchuk (Dupnitsa)


	Marek Dupnitsa		CSKA Sofia II

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.6
	1.94	3.3	3.46
	4.13	1.39	8.39	Watch
	1.94	3.24	3.63	Watch
	1.86	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.87)	2.89 ↓ (3.29)	4.57 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marek Dupnitsa
42.9%

Draw
35%

CSKA Sofia II
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27.5%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

28.4%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marek Dupnitsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marek Dupnitsa's form might have worsened.

CSKA Sofia II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Dupnitsa than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marek Dupnitsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Marek Dupnitsa - CSKA Sofia II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kostadinov K. (G) 9. Dimitrov I. 14. Dzhadzharov H. 88. George E. 44. Kaymakanski H. 33. Kirilov D. 16. Mechev S. 2. Nikolov B. 99. Vakadinov B. 77. Veshev S. 18. Yordanov R.	12. Orlinov M. (G) 23. Antonov I. 91. Bornosuzov Y. 4. Chatov S. 93. Dinev D. 8. Iliev Y. 24. Kichukov A. 7. Papazov M. 22. Sanyang S. 20. Stoychev M. 11. Tasev I.
Substitutes
17. Krastev M. 12. Mladenov P. (G) 94. Nenov Y. 55. Nikiforov K. 1. Peychev Ch. 27. Todorov N. 6. Yanev V. 8. Yordanov V. 10. Zakonov D.	17. Apostolov T. 31. Bogomil A. 77. Gilov Y. 3. Ivanov L. 47. Nikolov A. 98. Petrov B. 6. Sotirov M. 15. Tunchev A. 10. Zhivkov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
18', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
45+3', 🟨,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 🟥,
53', 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
75', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
87', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Marek has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

CSKA Sofia II's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Marek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marek is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marek won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Marek won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
20.09.25	Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:1 ✺
01.09.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Minyor Pernik	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Yantra Gabrovo - Marek Dupnitsa	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Fratria	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- CSKA Sofia II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
23.09.25	CSKA Sofia II - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	4:1 ✺
14.09.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - CSKA Sofia II	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	CSKA Sofia II - Chernomorets Burgas	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - CSKA Sofia II	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	CSKA Sofia II - Belasitsa Petrich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
07.05.25	Marek Dupnitsa - CSKA Sofia II	1:0
11.11.24	CSKA Sofia II - Marek Dupnitsa	1:2

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