Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 16

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Maria da Fonte		Amarante

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.95	2.05
	3.3	3.15	2.03
	3.54	3.14	2.09
	3.42	3.35	1.97
	3.35	3.2	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.06)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	2.04 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria da Fonte
26.8%

Draw
28.7%

Amarante
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

29.1%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria da Fonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Maria da Fonte is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Amarante is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amarante will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Maria da Fonte won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Bragança - Maria da Fonte	1:3 ✺
15.01.23	Maria da Fonte - Dumiense	2:2 ✺
08.01.23	Maria da Fonte - Pevidem	3:2 ✺
18.12.22	Desportivo Monção - Maria da Fonte	0:3 ✺
11.12.22	Brito - Maria da Fonte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTWWL
- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Amarante - Brito	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	São Martinho - Amarante	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Vila Meã - Amarante	0:1 ✺
18.12.22	Amarante - Vianense	2:4 ✺
11.12.22	Tirsense - Amarante	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.10.22	Amarante - Maria da Fonte	1:1

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