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Current Win Probability
Maria da Fonte 64%
Draw 21.4%
Cerveira 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.6%
20.6%
14.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
76.9%
17.3%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maria da Fonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Cerveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria da Fonte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerveira than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
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Preview
Maria da Fonte is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Cerveira has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Cerveira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Cerveira have a series of home games.
In this match Maria da Fonte is indisputable favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Maria da Fonte won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.