Match Info

Date: 28 February 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Maria da Fonte		Cerveira

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.25	6.5
	1.36	4.25	5.8
	1.44	4	6
	1.47	4.51	6.76
	1.45	4.25	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.39)	4.25 ↓ (4.35)	6.24 ↑ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria da Fonte
64%

Draw
21.4%

Cerveira
14.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.6%

20.6%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.9%

17.3%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria da Fonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Cerveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria da Fonte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerveira than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

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Preview

Maria da Fonte is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerveira has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cerveira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Cerveira have a series of home games.

In this match Maria da Fonte is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Maria da Fonte won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.02.21	Mirandela - Maria da Fonte	2:1 ✺
16.02.21	Vidago - Maria da Fonte	1:1 ✺
13.02.21	Maria da Fonte - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	1:0 ✺
17.01.21	Maria da Fonte - Merelinense	1:0 ✺
10.01.21	Vilaverdense - Maria da Fonte	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTWWW
- Cerveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.02.21	Cerveira - Vilaverdense	0:1 ✺
16.02.21	Cerveira - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	0:2 ✺
13.02.21	Bragança - Cerveira	2:0 ✺
07.02.21	Cerveira - Águia Vimioso	0:2 ✺
03.02.21	Cerveira - Mirandela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.11.20	Cerveira - Maria da Fonte	1:0
01.12.19	Cerveira - Maria da Fonte	1:1

Maria da Fonte - Cerveira

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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