Match Info
PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 18Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Maria da Fonte |
|
Merelinense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
|
 |
2.35 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
|
 |
2.34 |
3.17 |
3.04 |
|
 |
2.26 |
3.3 |
2.83 |
|
 |
2.32 |
3.3 |
2.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.22) |
3.23 ↓
(3.24) |
2.78 ↓
(2.93) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maria da Fonte
39.4% | Draw
28% | Merelinense
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maria da Fonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Merelinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merelinense than the current prediction. (-2.6%) 
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).Last 5 head-to-head matches Maria da Fonte won 3. Recent matches Maria da Fonte is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Merelinense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Maria da Fonte won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-13. Including matches at home between the teams Maria da Fonte won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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