Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 18

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Maria da Fonte		Merelinense

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Maria da Fonte
39.4%

Draw
28%

Merelinense
32.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.1%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria da Fonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Merelinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merelinense than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

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This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maria da Fonte won 3.

Recent matches Maria da Fonte is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Merelinense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Maria da Fonte won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Maria da Fonte won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.23	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Maria da Fonte	3:1 ✺
29.01.23	Maria da Fonte - Amarante	2:3 ✺
22.01.23	Bragança - Maria da Fonte	1:3 ✺
15.01.23	Maria da Fonte - Dumiense	2:2 ✺
08.01.23	Maria da Fonte - Pevidem	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWTW
- Merelinense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.23	Merelinense - Brito	1:2 ✺
29.01.23	São Martinho - Merelinense	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Merelinense - Vila Meã	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Vianense - Merelinense	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Tirsense - Merelinense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWLL

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.10.22	Merelinense - Maria da Fonte	1:1
Taça de Portugal
11.09.22	Maria da Fonte - Merelinense	0:4
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.01.22	Maria da Fonte - Merelinense	2:1
24.10.21	Merelinense - Maria da Fonte	1:2
17.01.21	Maria da Fonte - Merelinense	1:0
20.09.20	Merelinense - Maria da Fonte	1:0
08.12.19	Maria da Fonte - Merelinense	4:3

Maria da Fonte - Merelinense