Match Info

Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Maricá U20		Nova Iguaçu U20

	1	X	2
	2.30	2.95	2.85
	2.32	2.95	2.80
	2.62	2.98	2.54
	2.35	3.05	2.94	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.30
	2.60	3.22	2.60
	2.40	3.00	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.05)	3.01 ↓ (3.41)	2.68 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maricá U20
36.4%

Draw
29.9%

Nova Iguaçu U20
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26.8%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maricá U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maricá U20's form might have worsened.

Nova Iguaçu U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nova Iguaçu U20's recent form is better than expected.

Maricá U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+6', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 2 - 0, ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Nova Iguaçu U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Maricá U20 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maricá U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Including home match between the teams, Maricá U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Marica U20	9	2	2	5	11:15	-4	8
10	Nova Iguacu U20	9	1	4	4	10:17	-7	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maricá U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
15.08.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Maricá U20	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
18.03.26	Cabofriense U20 - Maricá U20	0:3 ✺
15.03.26	Maricá U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:3 ✺
12.03.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Maricá U20	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copinha
09.01.26	Osasco Sporting U20 - Maricá U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLLT
- Nova Iguaçu U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
21.08.26	Nova Iguaçu U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
04.04.26	Cabofriense U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20	4:1
21.03.26	Nova Iguaçu U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Nova Iguaçu U20 - America RJ U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca U20
20.09.25	Maricá U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20	4:1

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