Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 31

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Mariglianese		Acireale

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Mariglianese
25%

Draw
29.9%

Acireale
45.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.2%

30.9%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

27.6%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Acireale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariglianese than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acireale than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Acireale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

Recent matches Mariglianese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Acireale is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mariglianese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Acireale will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Mariglianese
Italian Serie D - Group I
06.04.23	Lamezia Terme - Mariglianese	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Mariglianese - Canicattì	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Cittanovese - Mariglianese	0:2 ✺
12.03.23	Mariglianese - Città di SantAgata	3:3 ✺
05.03.23	Paternò - Mariglianese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 WLWTL
- Acireale Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
06.04.23	Acireale - Catania	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Vibonese - Acireale	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Acireale - Licata	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	San Luca - Acireale	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Acireale - Ragusa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLT

Mariglianese - Acireale