Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 26

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Paternò		Mariglianese

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.2
	1.8	3.16	4.22
	1.89	2.9	4.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.18)	3.02 ↑ (2.93)	4.36 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paternò
49.4%

Draw
29.9%

Mariglianese
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

30.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

29.6%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paternò has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paternò's performance.

Mariglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mariglianese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paternò than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paternò that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariglianese than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mariglianese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Paternò could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paternò is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paternò won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Paternò 1908
Italian Serie D - Group I
26.02.23	Catania - Paternò	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Paternò - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Licata - Paternò	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Paternò - San Luca	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Ragusa - Paternò	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLTT
- US Mariglianese
Italian Serie D - Group I
26.02.23	Mariglianese - Locri	0:3 ✺
18.02.23	Castrovillari - Mariglianese	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Catania - Mariglianese	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Mariglianese - Vibonese	2:0 ✺
29.01.23	Licata - Mariglianese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
30.10.22	Mariglianese - Paternò	1:3

Paternò - Mariglianese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide