Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday


	Mariglianese		Città di Fasano

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.25
	3.27	3.06	2.09
	3.14	3.44	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.94)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	2.14 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariglianese
29%

Draw
28.7%

Città di Fasano
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.8%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

20.4%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Città di Fasano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariglianese than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariglianese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Città di Fasano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mariglianese - Città di Fasano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Mariglianese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Città di Fasano in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Città di Fasano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mariglianese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Mariglianese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Mariglianese
Italian Serie D - Group H
06.02.22	San Giorgio - Mariglianese	1:0 ✺
02.02.22	Mariglianese - Rotonda	0:0 ✺
29.01.22	Sorrento - Mariglianese	3:1 ✺
22.12.21	Mariglianese - Città di Brindisi	1:1 ✺
19.12.21	Nocerina - Mariglianese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTLTW
- US Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H
06.02.22	Città di Fasano - Lavello	2:0 ✺
02.02.22	Casertana - Città di Fasano	1:3 ✺
30.01.22	Città di Fasano - Audace Cerignola	3:3 ✺
23.01.22	Città di Fasano - Gravina	5:2 ✺
22.12.21	Nardo - Città di Fasano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
06.10.21	Città di Fasano - Mariglianese	1:0

Mariglianese - Città di Fasano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide