Match Info
Serie D - Group H - Round 23Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday
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Nardo |
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Città di Fasano |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.68 |
2.92 |
2.58 |
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3.09 |
2.8 |
2.27 |
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1.67 |
3.71 |
4.60 |
 Watch |
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2.9 |
2.63 |
2.4 |
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3.11 |
2.88 |
2.31 |
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3.2 |
2.83 |
2.3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.25) |
2.96 ↓
(3.1) |
2.74 ↓
(2.8) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nardo
33.9% | Draw
31.8% | Città di Fasano
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nardo's form might have worsened.Città di Fasano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (-4%)Nardo - Città di Fasano Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Fasano (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fasano (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Risolo A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 66', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 72', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nardo won 2.In recent matches, Nardo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Fasano is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nardo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.5:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Nardo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 14 | A.C.D. Nardo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Nardo - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.54%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group H | | | 05.10.25 | Città di Fasano - Nardo | 1:1 | | 04.05.25 | Città di Fasano - Nardo | 4:2 | | 22.12.24 | Nardo - Città di Fasano | 0:2 | | 07.04.24 | Nardo - Città di Fasano | 5:0 | | 26.11.23 | Città di Fasano - Nardo | 2:3 | | 22.01.23 | Città di Fasano - Nardo | 0:0 | | 18.09.22 | Nardo - Città di Fasano | 0:0 |
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