Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 33

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Mariglianese		Real Agro Aversa

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.2	1.72
	4.5	3.29	1.73
	4.55	3.5	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.61)	3.33 ↑ (2.87)	1.72 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariglianese
20.1%

Draw
27.3%

Real Agro Aversa
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

30.5%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

29.2%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Real Agro Aversa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Agro Aversa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariglianese than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariglianese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Agro Aversa than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Agro Aversa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Real Agro Aversa is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mariglianese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Mariglianese
Italian Serie D - Group I
23.04.23	Sancataldese - Mariglianese	3:0 ✺
16.04.23	Mariglianese - Acireale	0:1 ✺
06.04.23	Lamezia Terme - Mariglianese	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Mariglianese - Canicattì	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Cittanovese - Mariglianese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LLWLW
- Real Agro Aversa
Italian Serie D - Group I
23.04.23	Real Agro Aversa - Catania	1:3 ✺
16.04.23	Vibonese - Real Agro Aversa	0:0 ✺
06.04.23	Real Agro Aversa - Licata	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	San Luca - Real Agro Aversa	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Real Agro Aversa - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
17.12.22	Real Agro Aversa - Mariglianese	2:2

Mariglianese - Real Agro Aversa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide