Match Info

Date: 23 June 2022, Thursday


	Marijampolė City		Dainava Alytus

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.2
	2.6	4	2.1
	2.7	3.4	2.15
	2.52	3.74	2.24
	2.9	3.2	2.1
	2.49	3.82	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.55)	3.61 ↓ (3.67)	2.18 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marijampolė City
33.9%

Draw
24.9%

Dainava Alytus
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

23.9%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

25%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marijampolė City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Dainava Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marijampolė City than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	45.5%	27.3%

Marijampolė City - Dainava Alytus Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Marijampolė City will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Dainava will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 4).

Recent matches Marijampolė City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dainava is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dainava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dainava have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marijampolė City
Lithuanian Division 2
17.06.22	Nevėžis - Marijampolė City	3:1 ✺
10.06.22	Marijampolė City - FA Šiauliai B	5:0 ✺
03.06.22	Marijampolė City - Panevėžys 2	6:0 ✺
28.05.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Marijampolė City	1:0 ✺
21.05.22	Marijampolė City - Banga Gargždai 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLT
- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian Division 2
20.06.22	Dainava Alytus - Panevėžys 2	2:2 ✺
10.06.22	Dainava Alytus - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:2 ✺
03.06.22	Dainava Alytus - Banga Gargždai 2	3:0 ✺
28.05.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Dainava Alytus	0:3
22.05.22	Dainava Alytus - Babrungas Plungė	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWWW

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