Match Info

Paranaense - Round 6

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Maringá		Andraus

	1	X	2
	1.22	4.75	13
	1.23	5.5	11	Watch
	1.22	5.41	11.29
	1.24	5.54	12.13	Watch
	1.2	5	13
	1.25	5.14	14.1	Watch
	1.23	5.66	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.41)	5.29 ↑ (3.91)	12.22 ↑ (7.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
75%

Draw
17.4%

Andraus
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

23.4%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

18.6%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maringá's performance.

Andraus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-23.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maringá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andraus than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andraus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maringá - Andraus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Maringá (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maringá (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tony Batista (G) 32. Caua Tavares 7. Edison Negueba 14. Felipe 2. Gabriel Souza 9. Giovane Gomez 10. Guilherme Pira 28. Lucas Bonifacio 23. Paulinho 21. Ronald Camarao 6. Thiago Rosa	12. Carlao (G) 7. Caio Cezar 2. Cleiton 3. Daniel Oliveira 10. Felipe Valdivia 5. Lino C. 9. Lucao 21. Marcos Vinicius 11. Robinho 8. Thiago Primao 6. Tiago Brito
Substitutes
20. Bruno Cheron 99. Caique 11. Danielzinho 17. Iago Santana 4. Jhow Alecxander 5. Kelvi Gomes 37. Masukake Y. 15. Neira I. 25. Neto (G) 29. Rai Natalino 33. Rhuan 22. Rodrigues J. P.	22. Daniel Farias 17. Dener 15. de Souza Pereira R. 19. Joao Cruz 13. Kaka 1. Luis Carlos (G) 25. Matheus Ploszaj 18. Nicoletti P. 16. Paje 20. Vitor J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Lino C. 🟨,
33', Giovane Gomez ↓, Rai Natalino ↑,
36', 1 - 0, Ronald Camarao ⚽,
45+1', Lucas Bonifacio 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tiago Brito ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
59', Lucao ↓, Matheus Ploszaj ↑,
77', Daniel Oliveira 🟥,
80', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Maringá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Andraus's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Maringá is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maringá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Maringá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
20.01.26	Galo Maringá - Maringá	1:4 ✺
17.01.26	Maringá - Azuriz	0:1 ✺
13.01.26	Maringá - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Operário Ferroviario - Maringá	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Cianorte - Maringá	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLTT
- Clube Andraus
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
20.01.26	Andraus - Londrina	1:6 ✺
17.01.26	Foz do Iguaçu - Andraus	3:1 ✺
14.01.26	FC Cascavel - Andraus	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Andraus - São-Joseense	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Andraus - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
26.01.25	Andraus - Maringá	1:3
20.01.24	Maringá - Andraus	3:0

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