Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday


	Maringá		Anápolis

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.72	3.4	4.75
	1.8	3.25	4.43	Watch
	1.7	3.1	5
	1.69	3.34	4.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.5)	3.3 ↓ (3.75)	4.81 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
53.5%

Draw
27.6%

Anápolis
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

24.1%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

22.5%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maringá's form might have worsened.

Anápolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maringá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Maringá - Anápolis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, (Pen),
1, Rafael Mineiro (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, Palacio A. (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, Rubinho (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, Kevyn (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Maringá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Maringá is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Maringá to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Maringá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie D
08.09.24	Anápolis - Maringá	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Maringá - Internacional de Limeira	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Internacional de Limeira - Maringá	0:1 ✺
18.08.24	Maringá - Portuguesa RJ	3:1 ✺
10.08.24	Portuguesa RJ - Maringá	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTWWW
- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie D
08.09.24	Anápolis - Maringá	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Iguatu - Anápolis	3:4 penalties ✺
25.08.24	Anápolis - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Anápolis - Cianorte	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Cianorte - Anápolis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
08.09.24	Anápolis - Maringá	1:1

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