Match Info

BRAZIL: PARANAENSE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)


	Maringá		FC Cascavel

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.25	4.5
	1.73	3.25	4.2
	1.7	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.7	3.34	5.4
	1.67	3.34	5.4
	1.62	3.4	5
	1.64	3.4	5.26
	1.72	3.3	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.85)	3.34 ↑ (3.24)	4.86 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
53.9%

Draw
27.3%

FC Cascavel
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

FC Cascavel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Cascavel than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Maringá - FC Cascavel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dheimison (G) 9. Bruno Lopes 36. Caique 5. Everton Morelli 63. Marcos Vinicius 8. Rodrigo Santos 3. Ronald 10. Serginho (C) 13. Tito 4. Vilar 18. Ze Vitor	1. Paulo Gianezini (G) 5. Dener 4. Eduardo Junho 18. Garraty 34. Geovane 3. Joao Marcus (C) 11. Klenisson 2. Libano 9. Manoel 6. Matheus Leal 29. Rodrigo Alves
Substitutes
22. Diego Sousa 20. Edison Negueba 17. Iago Santana 19. Julio Rodrigues 28. Lucas Bonifacio 33. Matheus Moraes 23. Max Miller 7. Mirandinha 15. Parrudo 21. Pedrinho 12. Rafael William (G) 11. Robertinho	21. Alison Mira 16. Carlinhos 28. Cosenza R. 14. Gonzalez A. 7. Jeremias 40. Joao Cabral (G) 10. Joao Pedro 35. Pedrinho 17. Victor Daniel
Coaches
Jorge Castilho	Matheus Costa

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maringá won 1.

Recent matches Maringá is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

FC Cascavel is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Maringá is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Maringá won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 27-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Maringá won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
04.03.24	FC Cascavel - Maringá	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Maringá - América Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
25.02.24	Londrina - Maringá	3:1 ✺
18.02.24	Maringá - Cianorte	2:2 ✺
14.02.24	Coritiba - Maringá	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLTT
- FC Cascavel
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
04.03.24	FC Cascavel - Maringá	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Petrolina - FC Cascavel	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
25.02.24	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Operário Ferroviario - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
15.02.24	FC Cascavel - Cianorte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
04.03.24	FC Cascavel - Maringá	1:0
27.01.24	Maringá - FC Cascavel	1:1
Brazilian Serie D
08.07.23	Maringá - FC Cascavel	0:0
20.05.23	FC Cascavel - Maringá	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
01.02.23	Maringá - FC Cascavel	4:2
Club Friendly
07.01.23	FC Cascavel - Maringá	1:3
21.12.22	Maringá - FC Cascavel	2:2

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