Match Info

Paranaense - Round 6

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Regional Jacy Miguel Scanagatta (Cascavel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	FC Cascavel		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3.2	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.13	3.34	2.15
	3.25	3.43	2.12
	3.25	3	2.05
	3.33	3.33	2.14
	3.14	3.33	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.47)	3.28 ↑ (3.06)	2.12 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Cascavel
28.6%

Draw
28%

Coritiba
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

29.9%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

29.5%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Cascavel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Cascavel than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

FC Cascavel - Coritiba Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Coritiba (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andre Luiz (G) 22. Antony 3. Borech 23. Garraty (C) 5. Geovane 11. Hassan H. 2. Libano 8. Pedro Pecanha 20. Robinho 9. Samuel Tiba 17. Vitor Saci	12. Pedro Rangel (G) 14. Enzo Vagner 28. Fabinho 22. Felipe Guimaraes 88. Fernando Sobral 39. Gustavo 55. Jacy (C) 17. Jean Gabriel 16. Joao Almeida 21. Thiago Santos 36. Vini Paulista
Substitutes
16. do Espirito Santo G. S. 29. Gabriel Lyra 27. Guru G. 19. Kauhe Galdino 28. Leo Herrero 10. Luizinho 7. Negueba 4. Renan Cosenza 26. Rocha C. 12. Sidnei (G) 25. Vanderlei 18. Vitor Braga	77. Breno Lopes 26. Bruno Melo 19. Gomez S. 10. Josue 7. Lavega J. 11. Lucas Ronier 3. Maicon 1. Pedro Morisco (G) 32. Pedro Rocha 23. Tiago Coser 2. Tinga 29. Willian Oliveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Borech 🟨,
38', Samuel Tiba ↓, Kauhe Galdino ↑,
45+1', Pedro Pecanha 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
56', Jean Gabriel ↓, Josue ↑,
56', Gustavo ↓, Lavega J. ↑,
57', Fabinho ↓, Lucas Ronier ↑,
60', Fernando Sobral 🟥,
66', Enzo Vagner ↓, Breno Lopes ↑,
69', Pedro Pecanha ↓, Vitor Braga ↑,
69', Robinho ↓, Guru G. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Vitor Saci ⚽,
72', 🟨,
77', Vini Paulista ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
83', Vitor Saci ↓, Negueba ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Jacy ⚽,
90+2', Pedro Rangel 🟨,
90+3', Josue 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Cascavel won 3.

FC Cascavel is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Coritiba has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

FC Cascavel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, FC Cascavel won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, FC Cascavel won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Coritiba - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.71%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cascavel
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
21.01.26	Operário Ferroviario - FC Cascavel	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Cianorte - FC Cascavel	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	FC Cascavel - Andraus	1:1 ✺
08.01.26	FC Cascavel - Azuriz	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.12.25	FC Cascavel - Maringá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTTT
- Coritiba
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
21.01.26	Coritiba - São-Joseense	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
13.01.26	Maringá - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Coritiba - Londrina	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Coritiba - Foz do Iguaçu	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
19.01.25	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	1:0
25.02.24	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	1:0
11.03.23	Coritiba - FC Cascavel	0:0
05.03.23	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	3:1
19.02.23	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	0:0
13.02.22	Coritiba - FC Cascavel	0:0
03.05.21	Coritiba - FC Cascavel	2:3

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