Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Maringá		Novo Hamburgo

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.7	5.5
	1.55	3.75	5.5
	1.55	3.65	5.72
	1.57	3.62	5.73	Watch
	1.44	3.6	6
	1.54	3.68	5.7
	1.55	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)	3.68 ↑ (3.5)	5.66 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
59.3%

Draw
24.7%

Novo Hamburgo
16%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.9%

26.1%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

24.8%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Novo Hamburgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Maringá - Novo Hamburgo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 1 - 0, (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-2.

Maringá is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hamburgo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hamburgo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Maringá is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Maringá to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Maringá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie D
27.07.24	Novo Hamburgo - Maringá	2:4 ✺
20.07.24	Santo André - Maringá	0:1 ✺
13.07.24	Maringá - Água Santa	2:0 ✺
07.07.24	Costa Rica - Maringá	3:2 ✺
30.06.24	Maringá - Patrocinense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWLW
- EC Novo Hamburgo
Brazilian Serie D
27.07.24	Novo Hamburgo - Maringá	2:4 ✺
21.07.24	Novo Hamburgo - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Concórdia - Novo Hamburgo	1:1 ✺
10.07.24	Cianorte - Novo Hamburgo	1:2 ✺
06.07.24	Novo Hamburgo - Avenida	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.07.24	Novo Hamburgo - Maringá	2:4

Maringá - Novo Hamburgo