Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 13

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday


	Concórdia		Novo Hamburgo

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	4
	1.83	3.2	4.2
	1.8	3.05	4.35
	1.92	3.19	3.96	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.2
	1.78	3.24	4.43
	1.83	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.42)	3.15 ↑ (2.75)	4.19 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concórdia
49.7%

Draw
28.7%

Novo Hamburgo
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

33%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

31.6%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concórdia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Concórdia's performance.

Novo Hamburgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Novo Hamburgo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Concórdia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novo Hamburgo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Concórdia - Novo Hamburgo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,
66', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).

Recent matches Concórdia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hamburgo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Concórdia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Concórdia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Concórdia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Concórdia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concórdia AC
Brazilian Serie D
07.07.24	Concórdia - Hercílio Luz	1:1 ✺
30.06.24	Barra Santa Catarina - Concórdia	0:0 ✺
23.06.24	FC Cascavel - Concórdia	1:0 ✺
19.06.24	Novo Hamburgo - Concórdia	2:1 ✺
16.06.24	Concórdia - Cianorte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTLLW
- EC Novo Hamburgo
Brazilian Serie D
10.07.24	Cianorte - Novo Hamburgo	1:2 ✺
06.07.24	Novo Hamburgo - Avenida	1:1 ✺
03.07.24	Novo Hamburgo - Brasil de Pelotas	1:2 ✺
30.06.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Novo Hamburgo	3:1 ✺
26.06.24	Avenida - Novo Hamburgo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.06.24	Novo Hamburgo - Concórdia	2:1
18.06.23	Concórdia - Novo Hamburgo	1:1
07.06.23	Novo Hamburgo - Concórdia	1:2

Concórdia - Novo Hamburgo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide