Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 2 March 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Maringá		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.63
	2.5	3	2.6
	2.6	3.2	2.6
	2.45	3.05	2.7
	2.49	3.24	2.78
	2.55	3	2.7
	2.58	3.2	2.78
	2.5	3.15	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.73)	3.13 ↑ (3.09)	2.69 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
36.5%

Draw
29.4%

Sampaio Corrêa
34.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.3%

29.4%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

30.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maringá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Maringá - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Maringá will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maringá: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Maringá is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sampaio Corrêa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Maringá will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
26.02.23	Maringá - São-Joseense	3:1 ✺
16.02.23	Cianorte - Maringá	0:3 ✺
12.02.23	Londrina - Maringá	1:1 ✺
08.02.23	Maringá - Azuriz	3:0 ✺
04.02.23	Aruko Sports - Maringá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTWT
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
25.02.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.02.23	Sampaio Corrêa - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
15.02.23	ABC - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
12.02.23	Moto Club de São Luís - Sampaio Corrêa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTWLW

Maringá - Sampaio Corrêa

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Maringá - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Preview

Form

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