The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sampaio Corrêa 36%
Draw 32.9%
Maranhão 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.5%
30.8%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
28.4%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Vagalume ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, Joelson ⚽,
88', 0 - 3, Nadson ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 1.
Sampaio Corrêa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Maranhão's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Sampaio Corrêa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Sampaio Corrêa - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 35.45%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
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