Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 7

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday


	Marinhense		Arronches Benfica

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5.25
	1.6	3.4	5.4
	1.63	3.4	5.62
	1.6	3.43	5.86
	1.59	3.45	5.53
	1.6	3.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.17)	3.41 ↑ (3.1)	5.51 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marinhense
56.8%

Draw
26.7%

Arronches Benfica
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

30.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marinhense's performance.

Arronches Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arronches Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marinhense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arronches Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marinhense - Arronches Benfica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
06.10.24	Elvas - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Marinhense - Fatima	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Marinhense - Caldas	0:1 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.09.24	Pero Pinheiro - Marinhense	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Marinhense - Alverca B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTT
- Arronches Benfica
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
06.10.24	Arronches Benfica - Peniche	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	SB Castelo Branco - Arronches Benfica	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Arronches Benfica - Vila Real	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.09.24	Arronches Benfica - Alcains	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Os Marialvas - Arronches Benfica	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.03.23	Marinhense - Arronches Benfica	3:1
27.11.22	Arronches Benfica - Marinhense	0:0

Marinhense - Arronches Benfica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide