Match Info

Date: 8 May 2021, Saturday


	Marino		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.95	2.2
	2.95	2.95	2.35
	2.8	2.95	2.42
	2.92	3.12	2.62
	2.75	2.88	2.5
	2.77	3.18	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.12)	3.01 ↑ (2.98)	2.43 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino
31.8%

Draw
30.5%

Lorca Deportiva
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

30.3%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

22.7%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorca Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marino - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Marino has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lorca Deportiva is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marino
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.05.21	Granada B - Marino	1:1 ✺
25.04.21	El Ejido - Marino	4:0 ✺
17.04.21	Marino - Yeclano Deportivo	1:2 ✺
11.04.21	Lorca Deportiva - Marino	2:1 ✺
03.04.21	Marino - Granada B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLLL
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.05.21	Lorca Deportiva - Las Palmas B	2:2 ✺
25.04.21	Lorca Deportiva - Recreativo Huelva	2:1 ✺
18.04.21	Marbella - Lorca Deportiva	2:1 ✺
11.04.21	Lorca Deportiva - Marino	2:1 ✺
03.04.21	Las Palmas B - Lorca Deportiva	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.04.21	Lorca Deportiva - Marino	2:1

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