Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco (Lorca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Lorca Deportiva		Recreativo Huelva

	1	X	2
	3	2.88	2.3
	3.26	3	2.31
	3.21	2.89	2.33	Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.3
	3.17	2.89	2.28
	3.2	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.54)	2.9 ↑ (2.88)	2.3 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
28.9%

Draw
31.4%

Recreativo Huelva
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

31.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

32.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorca Deportiva's form might have worsened.

Recreativo Huelva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Recreativo Huelva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorca Deportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Recreativo Huelva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lorca Deportiva - Recreativo Huelva Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Recreativo (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Recreativo (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Recreativo (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Lorca Deportiva is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Recreativo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recreativo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorca Deportiva won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lorca Deportiva won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Recreativo Huelva	5	4	0	1	10:4	6	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.01.26	Real Jaén - Lorca Deportiva	4:2 ✺
11.01.26	Puente Genil - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Lorca Deportiva - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Xerez Deportivo - Lorca Deportiva	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Lorca Deportiva - Águilas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWTL
- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.01.26	Recreativo Huelva - Estepona	5:0 ✺
11.01.26	Malaga B - Recreativo Huelva	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Recreativo Huelva - CD Extremadura	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Melilla - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Recreativo Huelva - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.10.25	Recreativo Huelva - Lorca Deportiva	2:1
23.05.21	Recreativo Huelva - Lorca Deportiva	4:0
25.04.21	Lorca Deportiva - Recreativo Huelva	2:1
04.02.18	Recreativo Huelva - Lorca Deportiva	1:2
17.09.17	Lorca Deportiva - Recreativo Huelva	1:1

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