Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 21Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday
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Marino |
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Mensajero |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.3 |
2.92 |
3 |
|
 |
2.25 |
2.98 |
3.26 |
|
 |
2.14 |
3.06 |
3.41 |
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 |
2.25 |
2.9 |
3 |
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2.3 |
2.92 |
3.09 |
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2.25 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.26) |
2.95 ↓
(3.01) |
3.16 ↑
(3.04) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marino
40.4% | Draw
30.8% | Mensajero
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+0.6%)Marino - Mensajero Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 76', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marino won 2.Marino is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).In recent matches, Mensajero has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Mensajero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Marino is the team to beat.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Marino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Marino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Mensajero | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 9 |
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| 5 | CD Marino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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