Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Marino		Tamaraceite

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.25	2.98
	2.17	3.45	3.08
	2.17	3.71	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.5)	3.47 ↑ (3.2)	3.01 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino
42.8%

Draw
26.6%

Tamaraceite
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

29%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marino's performance.

Tamaraceite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tamaraceite might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Marino - Tamaraceite Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 2 - 0, ⚽,
87', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marino won 0.

Marino is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tamaraceite has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tamaraceite may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Marino has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Marino won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Marino won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
01.11.25	Herbania - Marino	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Marino - Las Palmas C	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Panadería Pulido - Marino	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Lanzarote - Marino	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Mensajero - Marino	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLL
- UD Tamaraceite
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
01.11.25	Tamaraceite - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Tenerife C - Tamaraceite	4:2 ✺
18.10.25	Tamaraceite - San Bartolomé	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	UD San Fernando - Tamaraceite	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Tamaraceite - Arucas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
09.03.25	Marino - Tamaraceite	0:3
26.10.24	Tamaraceite - Marino	1:0
24.02.24	Tamaraceite - Marino	1:0
08.10.23	Marino - Tamaraceite	0:1
02.04.23	Marino - Tamaraceite	1:1
06.12.22	Tamaraceite - Marino	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.02.21	Tamaraceite - Marino	2:1

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