Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Tamaraceite		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	2.68
	2.4	3.14	2.7
	1.40	3.85	9.39	Watch
	2.39	3.13	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.02)	3.31 ↑ (3.2)	4.36 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamaraceite
46.7%

Draw
30.3%

Mensajero
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

29.1%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamaraceite has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Tamaraceite - Mensajero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tamaraceite won 1.

Tamaraceite has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mensajero is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mensajero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tamaraceite has had a series of home games.

Recently, Mensajero has had a series of away games.

Tamaraceite could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tamaraceite won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tamaraceite won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mensajero	4	3	0	1	4:2	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tamaraceite
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
25.04.26	Tamaraceite - Lanzarote	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Tamaraceite - Herbania	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Las Palmas C - Tamaraceite	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Tamaraceite - Marino	2:2 ✺
01.04.26	Tamaraceite - Panadería Pulido	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTTW
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
03.05.26	Arucas - Mensajero	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Unión Sur Yaiza - Mensajero	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Mensajero - Arcángel San Miguel	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Real Unión - Mensajero	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Atlético Paso - Mensajero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
15.03.26	Mensajero - Tamaraceite	2:1
01.11.25	Tamaraceite - Mensajero	2:2
01.03.25	Tamaraceite - Mensajero	0:1
20.10.24	Mensajero - Tamaraceite	1:2
08.04.23	Tamaraceite - Mensajero	0:2
11.12.22	Mensajero - Tamaraceite	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.01.22	Tamaraceite - Mensajero	3:0

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