Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue 2 - Round 11

Date: 24 December 2024, Tuesday


	Marsa		El Makarem de Mahdia

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.87	4.1
	1.9	2.95	4.2
	1.91	3.06	4.23
	1.87	3.08	4.38	Watch
	1.85	2.8	4.4
	1.8	3.05	4.65
	1.9	2.95	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.26)	2.97 ↑ (2.95)	4.31 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
48.4%

Draw
30.6%

El Makarem de Mahdia
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

31%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

32.2%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsa's performance.

El Makarem de Mahdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Makarem de Mahdia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Makarem de Mahdia than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Makarem de Mahdia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Marsa - El Makarem de Mahdia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Marsa will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marsa: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Traidi O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).

Recent matches Marsa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

EM Mahdia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marsa will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue 2
20.12.24	Radès - Marsa	1:3 ✺
14.12.24	Marsa - Korba	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	Ariana - Marsa	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Marsa - Mégrine	2:2 ✺
16.11.24	Marsa - Hammam-Sousse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLTL
- El Makarem de Mahdia
Tunisian Ligue 2
20.12.24	El Makarem de Mahdia - Hammam-Sousse	2:2 ✺
14.12.24	Moknine - El Makarem de Mahdia	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	El Makarem de Mahdia - Jendouba Sport	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Radès - El Makarem de Mahdia	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	El Makarem de Mahdia - Hammam-Lif	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWTWW

Marsa - El Makarem de Mahdia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide