Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 26

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Marsa		Msaken

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.6	8.4
	1.19	5.09	8.43
	1.33	4.48	8.82
	1.32	5.15	6.77
	1.31	4.6	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)	4.78 ↑ (4.4)	8.16 ↓ (8.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
70%

Draw
18.9%

Msaken
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

20.6%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

19.5%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Msaken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Msaken than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Marsa - Msaken Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Marsa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Touati B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 2 - 0, Karoui O. (Pen),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue Professionnelle 1 and 6).

Marsa has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Msaken's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Marsa is the clear favorite.

We predict that Marsa will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue 2
17.05.25	Marsa - Kalaâ	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	El Makarem de Mahdia - Marsa	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Marsa - Radès	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Korba - Marsa	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Marsa - Ariana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW
- CS Msaken
Tunisian Ligue 2
17.05.25	Jendouba Sport - Msaken	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Msaken - Moknine	0:0 ✺
30.04.25	Msaken - Menzel Bourguiba	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
27.04.25	Club Africain - Msaken	2:1 ET ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
20.04.25	Hammam-Sousse - Msaken	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
04.01.25	Msaken - Marsa	0:0
Tunisian Cup
15.06.22	Msaken - Marsa	0:2

Marsa - Msaken: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide