Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 21

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	Marsa		Ariana

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.75	6.8
	1.43	3.68	6.65
	1.46	3.81	7.13	Watch
	1.42	3.85	7.4
	1.46	3.75	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.69)	3.77 ↑ (3.3)	6.96 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
62.8%

Draw
24.1%

Ariana
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

28.6%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsa's performance.

Ariana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ariana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Marsa - Ariana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, Karoui O. (Pen),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 4).

Recent matches Marsa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ariana is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Marsa is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Marsa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Marsa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue 2
12.04.25	Mégrine - Marsa	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Marsa - Menzel Bourguiba	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Hammam-Sousse - Marsa	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Marsa - Moknine	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Jendouba Sport - Marsa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWTTL
- AS Ariana
Tunisian Ligue 2
13.04.25	Ariana - Korba	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Radès - Ariana	2:3 ✺
09.03.25	Ariana - Hammam-Lif	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Msaken - Ariana	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Ariana - Kalaâ	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
07.12.24	Ariana - Marsa	2:1
05.01.19	Marsa - Ariana	2:0

Marsa - Ariana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide