Match Info

Date: 9 February 2020, Sunday


	Marsala		ACR Messina

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	2.83	3.04	2.58
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.7	3.18	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.49 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsala
33.5%

Draw
29.7%

ACR Messina
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

21.2%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsala than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsala that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ACR Messina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Marsala 1912
Italian Serie D - Group I
02.02.20	Acireale - Marsala	2:1 ✺
26.01.20	Marsala - Savoia	0:2 ✺
19.01.20	Giugliano - Marsala	2:1
12.01.20	Marsala - Nola	1:1
05.01.20	Palermo - Marsala	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLTL
- ACR Messina
Italian Serie D - Group I
02.02.20	ACR Messina - Marina di Ragusa	0:1 ✺
26.01.20	Castrovillari - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
19.01.20	ACR Messina - San Tommaso	1:0 ✺
12.01.20	Acireale - ACR Messina	3:1
05.01.20	ACR Messina - Troina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
06.10.19	ACR Messina - Marsala	0:0
30.09.18	ACR Messina - Marsala	3:2

Marsala - ACR Messina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide